Summary: Probabilistic forecasting is operational-cognitive component of competitive activity of fencers, providing the perception and processing of information, and effectiveness of solving problems in combat. Correlation indicators of ability and attack activity were studied among the young fencers with foils aged 17-19.There are suggestions for the improvement ways of attacks in terms of targeted training requiring the existence probabilistic forecasting on verbal and unconscious level.
Key words: probabilistic forecasting, anticipation, watching over activities, tactical training, offensive action.